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Aubrey Matshiqi

Aubrey Matshiqi

Aubrey Matshiqi, Independent Political Analyst - matshiqi@yahoo.com

Dissecting the ANC’s sudden interest in land expropriation 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     24th August 2018 Does South Africa belong to those who live in it, or to those who conquered it? In other words, is land expropriation without compensation constitutionally permissible and, is it possible to expropriate land without compensation without the consent of the conquerors? According to the Freedom... 

Ramaphoria index falling 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     20th July 2018 This month we are celebrating the centenary of the birth of Nelson Mandela. I suspect that the country will celebrate more the older Mandela than the young hothead of a militant who became a commander in the armed struggle against white minority rule. To me, the commemoration of the centenary of... 

Ramaphoria index falling

When crime intelligence is lacking 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     22nd June 2018 The cash-in-transit heists, taxi violence and political assassinations in KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) should worry us deeply. What they suggest is the possibility that both policing and our intelligence environment may be in a state of crisis. While it is critical that we avoid errors in analysis that... 

When crime intelligence is lacking

A reflection on the DA-De Lille imbroglio  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     28th May 2018 A hegemonic project is at its zenith when its driving logic, values and what it represents have become commonsensical. Hegemony at this stage of development is about the reproduction of relations in society in a way that continues to guarantee the dominance of hegemonic interests. It is about... 

A reflection on the DA-De Lille imbroglio

We should be less euphoric about the Ramaphosa moment 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     23rd March 2018 In his State of the Nation address, President Cyril Ramaphosa spoke about  a new dawn, hope and renewal. Quoting from the song Thuma Mina (send me), by the late South African jazz giant, Hugh Masekela, he asked us to act in pursuit of a better life and a better South Africa. Since Ramaphosa's... 

We should be less euphoric about the Ramaphosa moment

The choices Ramaphosa has to make 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     15th February 2018 As I sit to write this month’s missive, it seems the Zuma moment will be behind us soon. As I write, I am listening to a news bulletin in which it is being reported that African National Congress (ANC) reasurer-general Paul Mashatile told a group of businesspeople at the Mining Indaba, in Cape... 

The choices Ramaphosa has to make

Ramaphosa headed for stormy seas 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     24th January 2018 The African National Congress (ANC) has a new leader. The question is whether Cyril Ramaphosa is the next President of South Africa. In other words, will Ramaphosa lead the ANC to victory in the national election in 2019, and will the ANC recoup the electoral losses it suffered in the last two... 

Ramaphosa headed for stormy seas

ANC leadership race really a contest between Ramaphosa and Zuma  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     15th December 2017 Twelve months ago, I had no doubt that  the national conference of the African National Congress (ANC) would elect Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma as president of the ruling party and successor to President Jacob Zuma. Today, a day before the commencement of the conference, I am not so sure. In the past... 

ANC leadership race really a contest between Ramaphosa and Zuma

Here is why CR17 is not ahead in ANC leadership race 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     24th November 2017 In a matter of weeks, the African National Congress (ANC) will elect its fourteenth president. Depending on who or what section of the media one believes, it is either Cyril Ramaohosa (CR17 to his supporters) or Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma (NDZ) who is, as they say, ‘miles ahead’. This is not... 

Here is why CR17 is not ahead in ANC leadership race

KPMG scandal could be the tip of the iceberg 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     20th October 2017 The KPMG scandal is an example of what happens when accounting meets the profit imperative. It is also an example of what happens when the profit motive, accounting and politics meet. That said, I am happy that members of Parliament's Standing Committee on Public Accounts (Scopa) are not as... 

KPMG scandal  could be the tip  of the iceberg

NDZ not Zuma’s candidate in ANC leadership race 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     22nd September 2017 Let me start by quoting from the book Dictator, by Robert Harris – a book about Rome and the last 15 years of Cicero: “You have the soldiers but no legitimacy, we have the legitimacy but no soldiers. What we do both have, however, is a common enemy.” Another bit from the same book: “Your speeches... 

NDZ not Zuma’s candidate in ANC leadership race

No credible candidate in the overcrowded race for the presidency of the ANC  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     23rd August 2017 In recent months and weeks, Lindiwe Sisulu, Mathews Phosa, Baleka Mbete and Jeff Radebe have entered the race for the presidency of the African National Congress (ANC). In other words, the 2017 national conference of the ANC has delivered the highest number of presidential candidates since the... 

No credible candidate in the overcrowded race for the presidency of the ANC

Conservative streak prevailed at ANC policy conference  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     21st July 2017 At the end of the policy conference of the African National Congress (ANC), President Jacob Zuma declared that the ruling party was more united than it had been when the conference began. In the process of delivering his closing address, he proposed that the loser in the race for the presidency... 

Conservative streak prevailed at ANC policy conference

Zille’s antics a big disservice to the DA  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     16th June 2017 There is an interesting irony about the tension between Democratic Alliance (DA) leader Mmusi Maimane and his predecessor, Helen Zille. The irony lies less in the fact that Zille mentored Maimane but is more about how Zille changed the DA. Maimane, as the first black leader of the party, is a... 

Zille’s antics a big disservice to the DA

The unravelling of Jacob Zuma  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     19th May 2017 At the memorial service for former President Nelson Mandela, a section of the crowd booed President Jacob Zuma. At the end of last year, former Tourism Minister Derek Hanekom stood up at a meeting of the national executive committee (NEC) of the African National Congress (ANC) and proposed a vote... 

The unravelling of Jacob Zuma

Anti-Zuma campaigners should rather pressure ruling party to eject him 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     28th April 2017 To defeat former President Thabo Mbeki, the coalition that supported the then deputy president of the African National Congress (ANC), Jacob Zuma, did two things. Firstly, they decided to step outside the disciplinary framework of the ANC and created structures outside the ruling party in support... 

Anti-Zuma campaigners should rather pressure ruling party to eject him

South Africa struggling to be reborn  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     23rd March 2017 The South Africa we fought for is struggling to be reborn. In fact, it is being pushed back into the womb. As we prepare to celebrate 23 years of democracy, I find myself wondering whether our ancestors are proud of us. Are they proud of what we have become? 

South Africa struggling to be reborn

Foreign policy rows all about the changing balance of power  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     17th February 2017 The year began with two rows on foreign policy. The first was about a visit to Taiwan by Solly Msimang in his capacity as the executive mayor of Tshwane. The second, which riled the African National Congress (ANC) even more, was about a visit to Israel by Democratic Alliance (DA) leader Mmusi... 

Foreign policy rows all about the changing balance of power

SA needs a leader who will be able to cure the country’s ills 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     27th January 2017 The election of the leader of the African National Congress (ANC) is not only about individual interests; that is, it is not only about the interests of the individuals who want to ascend to the throne. I am certain that it is almost always about either the ascendance of those that are outside... 

SA needs a leader who will be able to cure the country’s ills

2016: Year of Orwellian manipulation  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     16th December 2016 We must declare 2016 the year of Orwellian manipulation. For the purposes of this article, Orwellian manipulation is about presenting falsehoods as truths, and truths as falsehoods. The aim is to distort political reality and, thereby, change the political environment to the disadvantage of... 

2016: Year of Orwellian manipulation

Tide beginning to turn against Jacob Zuma

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     18th November 2016 What a week! In the same week, the National Prosecuting Authority dropped charges of fraud against Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan, a judge ordered that the report on the investigation into allegations of State capture be released and disparate groups – including the Economic Freedom Fighters... 

Likely consequences of an ANC-EFF merger 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     18th October 2016 For about three years now, there have been consistent rumours that some leaders of the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) and the African National Congress (ANC) have been engaged in on-off discussions about Julius Malema and others in the top echelons of the EFF going back to the ANC. According to... 

Likely consequences of an ANC-EFF merger

Politics to blame as SA hurtles towards downgrade  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     29th September 2016 South Africa is inching closer and closer towards a downgrade to subinvestment grade. To blame, of course, is the increasingly fractious politics of the ruling African National Congress (ANC). If former US President Bill Clinton had been South African, he would have said: “It’s politics, stupid!”... 

Politics to blame as SA hurtles towards downgrade

Implications of this year’s local government elections 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     24th August 2016 In electoral terms, South Africa is a new country. The South Africa of the day before the local government elections, in relation to the South Africa of the day after the elections, is a country that is foreign to the African National Congress (ANC). As former treasurer-general of the ANC Mathews... 

Implications of this year’s local government elections

ANC should lose August elections – but will it? 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     22nd July 2016 The local government elections are upon us. And if things go according to the predictions of political commentators such as yours truly, as well as the number of violent protests we have seen around the country over the past few months, the African National congress (ANC) is in deep trouble. It... 

ANC should lose August elections – but will it?

EFF may well exploit rival parties’ incoherence on the race question 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     24th June 2016 The Democratic Alliance (DA) and the African National Congress (ANC) have some common headaches, chief among which is the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF). After the 1999 elections, the Democratic Party – the precursor to the DA – conducted a re-envisioning exercise following a successful campaign... 

EFF may well exploit rival parties’ incoherence on the race question

There’s more to elections than attendance at manifesto launch rallies 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     13th May 2016 An old Prog – a former member of the liberal Progressive Party, one of the precursors of the Democratic Alliance (DA) – told me a story about the 1961 general election, which was held on October 18, 13 months before I was born. 

There’s more to elections than attendance at manifesto launch rallies

Nkandla judgment a turning point for ANC 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     15th April 2016 A few weeks ago, I argued in an article I wrote for another publication for a proper alignment between conviction and courage. Since then, people have been asking me what I mean when I talk about ‘a proper alignment between conviction and courage’. In its simplest form, this argument suggests... 

Nkandla judgment a turning point for ANC

Gordhan vs Zuma  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     11th March 2016 The course of history can, and may, be changed by a single event. In the case of President Jacob Zuma, that event may be the decision to fire Nhlanhla Nene as South Africa's Finance Minister on December 9, 2015. By firing Nene, the President unleashed political and economic forces he clearly did... 

Gordhan vs Zuma

ANC weighing pros and cons of long campaign for municipal elections 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     12th February 2016 The African National congress (ANC) launches its local government election manifesto on April 16. Obviously, the elections will definitely not take place in May. Remember that the term of local government ends in May and that the elections must be held within 90 days after the end of the term.... 

ANC weighing pros and cons of long campaign for municipal elections

Municipal vote could be pointer to ANC’s electoral fortunes going forward  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     15th January 2016 This year is the year of the local government elections. This means that, between May and August, we will know whether shifts in voter sentiment, significant or not, have occurred or not. In particular, what will occupy the popular imagination as well as the attention of political commentators... 

Municipal vote could be pointer to ANC’s electoral fortunes going forward

2015 – the year that was 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     11th December 2015 As people say, there is never a dull moment in South African politics. Indeed, in 2015 there were many moments in our politics that were definitely not dull. The year started in February with a State of the Nation address like no other since the advent of democracy. President Jacob Zuma stepped... 

2015 – the year that was

South Africa the antithesis of a civilised society  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     13th November 2015 In the book Moral Tribes: Emotion, Reason and the Gap Between Us And Them, author Joshua Greene makes some compelling arguments about some of the factors behind conflict in society. He argues that people in society, or what he calls ‘moral peoples', “fight not because they are fundamentally... 

South Africa the antithesis of a civilised society

Our priority task should be to define what constitutes a civilised state

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     16th October 2015 Broadly speaking, the creation of a society that is the antithesis of our apartheid past constitutes the bare minimum of what we need to achieve as a country. The greater goal is that of a society that is qualitatively better than the antithesis of apartheid. The question is whether South Africa... 

Hysterical pessimism not the solution to South Africa’s problems 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     11th September 2015 In the book Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy, Joseph Schumpeter states: “Frank presentation of ominous facts was never more necessary than it is today because we seem to have developed escapism into a system of thought.” Schumpeter wrote this in the 1940s but his words are as profound today as... 

Hysterical pessimism  not the solution to  South Africa’s problems

South Africa in 2015 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     16th January 2015 The 2015 political calendar looks very interesting indeed. This is the year of the National General Council (NGC) of the ruling African National Congress (ANC). It is also the year of the special national congress and the thirtieth-anniversary national congress of the Congress of South African... 

South Africa in 2015

Let’s do away with ideas that ensure our people are the wretched of the earth

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     12th December 2014 The year 2014 is the year during which South Africa celebrated 20 years of democracy. But 2014 is also the year during which chinks in our liberal democratic project seemed to occupy centre stage in expressions of pessimism about the direction the ruling party, our institutions and our economy... 

The DA – boon or bane for SA democracy?  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     14th November 2014 Is the Democratic Alliance (DA) a blessing or a curse to our democracy? Five years ago, the DA went to court to challenge the decision of the National Prosecuting Authority (NPA) to withdraw charges of corruption, racketeering and money laundering against President Jacob Zuma. The then acting... 

The DA – boon or bane for SA democracy?
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